Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Postprandials, Tuesday 19/4/2011

The All Ordinaries Index (XAO) was down -1.41% and finished at 4793.3.

Volume was well below average.  Just  over 1billion shares traded - that's unusual outside the Xmas/NewYear period.  


The Small Ordinaries were on the bearish side -1.9%.    The Advance/Decline Ratio was an extremely low 0.33:1.  Such extreme readings are seen at or near market lows.

Today the market broke marginally below two important support levels:

  • the 50-day Moving Average
  • horizontal support at 4809.6
Important technical developments today were:
  • MACD Histogram broke below the Zero line.
  • RSI finished below its mid-line at 45.8.
  • Stochastic (33.9) continued heading down but hasn't reached oversold levels below 20
  • CCi continued down and finished at -23, still above oversold levels of -100. 
The market is presenting a conundrum.  The American market is showing above average volume on the declines.  The Australian market is showing below average volume on the declines.  hmmm.  One thing's for sure -  there's no demand.  It's just that the sellers in America are more emphatic than the Australian sellers.  I'll leave that one with you.

After such a big down day, a small rise tomorrow seems likely.  

The indicators are not showing the oversold extremes one expects before the market reverses upwards.  But they're getting close.

Good luck
Redb





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