Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Market Comments 22/2/2011


Today the XJO (ASX200) finished at 4857, down -0.88%. Well - I don't need to tell you that things don't look too flash>:)

OMG! Two days down and we think the world has ended. >:)

So how bad is it?

Here's the negative side:
  1. Intermediate term resistance held on Monday.
  2. Major support broken today. (See blue line on chart above.)
  3. MACD Histogram broken below Zero.
  4. Williams %R below mid-line.
  5. RSI close to breaking below mid-line.
  6. Directional Movement Histogram (not shown on chart) broken below Zero.
  7. Index is significantly below the 13-Day Moving Average now at 4904.
What does that mean? Simply - we're in a short term down trend.

What's the good news?
  1. Index is above the Super Trend Line
  2. Index remains in a long-term up-trend.
  3. The Index remains above the 65-Day Moving Average currently at 4764
The buy-the-dip crowd are salivating - but they might have to wait a while longer.

Small Ordinaries today was down -1.3%. Worse than the XJO at -0.88%

Until we see that downtrend line on the XSO:XJO ratio chart (lowest pane) broken to the upside, I think we'll see further weakness in this market.

Good luck
Red


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