Saturday, January 15, 2011

Australian Stock Market Summary. week ended 14/1/11

XAO: +2%%

Best Performing Sectors: Consumer Staples, +3.5%, Telecoms, +3.2%

Worst Performing Sectors: Utilities, +0.3%, Health, +1.2%

Risk Appetite: Small Ords (+2.6%) outperformed Fifty Leaders (+2%) - Bullish appetite

Gold Miners: +0.2%

Property Trusts: +2%

Materials: +2.3%

Financials: 1.7%

XAO - long/medium/short term trends: Up.

Dow - long/medium/short term trends: Up

Shanghai - Medium Term Trend Down

Bombay stock market down sharply over past two weeks.

Asian nations (e.g., China, South Korea, Thailand) imposing anti-inflation measures (negative for world growth)

Ben Bernanke’s QE2 program will probably sustain the American market in the long term.

Seasonality - week after Martin Luther King Holiday in America is usually bearish (see chart below)

Best performing sectors this week were both Defensives. Not what you expect on a strong up week.

To me, this week’s rise looks like strong hands selling to weak hands. Thursday - big up-day on big volume, XAO finished at the top of its range. Friday, small up-day on light volume. Classic selling into strength on Thursday - few buyers left on Friday.

I expect our market to be lower by the end of the coming week.

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