Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Gold ETF as at 3/11/2010

There's not much to say about the Gold ETF today. It started auspiciously but finished down a little on yesterday's close, -0.14%.

With the ADX (Average Directional Index) down near 10, this is clearly in non-trending mode.

Although no clear break in the chart pattern has occurred, volatility does seem to be picking up. So a break could be imminent. Key levels seem to be 131-136.

The impact of the Federal Reserves' decision will be important for the Gold ETF.

The Gold ETF is as much a play on currency movements as it is on the movement of the price of Gold in US$. If the Ozzie Dollar falls, the price of Gold in Ozzie Dollars is likely to rise.

So - a benign QE2 announcement would be negative for the Ozzie Dollar and good for the Gold ETF.

Let's wait to see how it plays out.

Cheers
Red

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