Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Looking at this chart it would be easy to say that the market will probably reverse.

All the balls are lined up. The market was down today, with the 50-Day SMA hovering overhead.

The RSI has reversed at the mid-line. And the Slow Stochastic has turned down below its signal line (but not yet below 80).

So, is there a fly in the ointment?

Maybe. A/D ratio today was 1.1:1 and AdvancingVolume/DecliningVolume Ratio today was 1.5:1.

Are the punters overoptimistic? Betting against a market downturn? In the past breadth has been a better gauge of near term direction than the overall market chart.

So, I think we have to side with the punters and believe that this rally has more legs yet.

Cheers
Red

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