Tuesday, June 8, 2010

Market Comments. 8/6/2010


The market had a nice bounce today. Up 1.2%. It remains within the bounds of the trading range: in rough figures 4500-4300. Until we see a breach one way or the other of that band, I'd keep my hands in my pockets.

The market, although up, had, on balance, a defensive posture.
  • 50-Leaders +1.4%,
  • XAO (All Ordinaries) +1.2%,
  • XSO (Small Ordinaries) +0.9%
The two best performing S&P Industry Sectors were both Defensives:

  • Telecoms +2%
  • Utilities +1.7%
That tells us that the "smart" money (institutions) are still playing it very cautiously.

The indicators on the XAO chart show a mixed picture.
  • 9/18 SMA has had a positive crossover, but that is negated by the fact that the cross-over has occurred while the chart is below the two SMAs.
  • the MACD is positive (above its signal line) but below the Zero line.
  • the RSI is heading up but still below the mid-line
  • the Slow Stochastic is still below its signal line and heading down.
On balance - that's a stand aside market - no clear direction.

Let's wait for clear direction.

Cheers
Red


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