Redback's Australian Stock Market Report

A daily report on the Australian Stock market and selected Australian stocks.

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Long Term View. 29/6/2010


Sometimes I wonder if all the talk about the current situation doesn't cloud out the long term view. So - let's make it clear. The following summarises much I've said in the past with just a little new information

1. This is year 0 in the decade cycle. Usually a poor year.
2. This is the second year in the presidential cycle. Usually a poor year.
3. That makes for a double whammy.

More specifically.

1. the 13/150 DSMAs on the XAO have crossed negatively.
2. indicators on the XAO monthly chart are negative (10-Month MA, MACD, RSI, Slow Stoch)
3. the XAO 50/200 DSMAs have suffered a "death cross" - since then the XAO has gone back up to the 50DSMA and retreated, confirming the seriousness of the previous cross. (See chart above)

I think it's time to buy in Nimbin - or better still, learn how to sell short.:)

Cheers
Red


redbacka at 1:14 AM

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redbacka
Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Redback has had a varied career in Education, Academia and Business. He has a bachelor's degree with a double major in English and Philosophy. Post Graduate qualifications in Administration and a Master of Science degree. Besides looking after his granddaughters two/three days a week, he devotes himself full time to stock market analysis.
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