Redback's Australian Stock Market Report

A daily report on the Australian Stock market and selected Australian stocks.

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Long Term View. 29/6/2010


Sometimes I wonder if all the talk about the current situation doesn't cloud out the long term view. So - let's make it clear. The following summarises much I've said in the past with just a little new information

1. This is year 0 in the decade cycle. Usually a poor year.
2. This is the second year in the presidential cycle. Usually a poor year.
3. That makes for a double whammy.

More specifically.

1. the 13/150 DSMAs on the XAO have crossed negatively.
2. indicators on the XAO monthly chart are negative (10-Month MA, MACD, RSI, Slow Stoch)
3. the XAO 50/200 DSMAs have suffered a "death cross" - since then the XAO has gone back up to the 50DSMA and retreated, confirming the seriousness of the previous cross. (See chart above)

I think it's time to buy in Nimbin - or better still, learn how to sell short.:)

Cheers
Red


Posted by redbacka at 1:14 AM
Labels: XAO. Death Cross. Decade Year. Presidential cycle. 50-200 Day SMAs. 13/150 DSMAs

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About this blog


Emphasis in this report is given to inter-market analysis (bonds, gold, international stock markets, currencies), market sector analysis and breadth analysis. Mention will also be made of simple Technical Analysis tools. The main indicators used are the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), RSI (Relative Strength Index), Slow Stochastic, trend lines and On Balance Volume.

To make matters clear. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Any statement that I make should be read as the personal opinion of a simple chartist trying to make sense of a chaotic environment.



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      • Gold ETF - 30/6/2010
      • Market Comments 30/6/2010
      • Long Term View. 29/6/2010
      • Gold ETF - 29/6/2010
      • XAO. Woolworths. 29/6/2010
      • Market Comments. 28/6/2010
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      • A big day down today on the XAO -1.6%. We're now ...
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redbacka
Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
Redback has had a varied career in Education, Academia and Business. He has a bachelor's degree with a double major in English and Philosophy. Post Graduate qualifications in Administration and a Master of Science degree. Besides looking after his granddaughters two/three days a week, he devotes himself full time to stock market analysis.
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