Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Market Comments. 25/5/2010


In many respects today was a reverse image of yesterday.

Following are the Advance/Decline figures for yesterday and today:

24/5/10 1,002 402
25/5/10 407 1,025

And here are the figures for AdvVol/DeclVol:

24/5/10 1,284million
288million
25/5/10 175million
1,720million

The figures for the 24th are extreme - but to get them virtually reversed the following day is even more extreme. This is getting really weird. :)

The chart above is somewhat esoteric. It is a relative strength chart of Advances/Advancing Volume.

The previous two times the ratio reached into the stratosphere were times when the market reversed significantly.

The first time was the dramatic finish to the June/July 09 correction which set in train the rise by the XAO up to the mid-October 09 high.

The second time was the less dramatic, but important, beginning of the Santa Rally which finished in early January 2010.

So - will history repeat?

We shall see.

There is no doubt in my mind that a significant rally will occur. Enough to reverse the current bearish sentiment? Maybe, maybe not.

With the market acting in such strange ways, anything is possible. To my mind, it means a very big move of far reaching dimenstions is coming. Which direction is the question.

Cheers
Redb



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