- Elsewhere in the tropics
- All of the major models continue to predict a major pattern shift in the global atmospheric circulation late this week, which leads to breakdown of the Russian heat wave and start to the Cape Verdes hurricane season. Most of the models predict a tropical storm will form off the coast of Africa late this week, and track west-northwestward across the Atlantic. As usual, it is highly uncertain what track a storm that has yet to form might take.
These are the storms which likely track across to the Gulf of Mexico. They don't have to - they can veer off to the north-west and up the Atlantic coast of America. But .. just keep in mind Katrina. I'm not suggesting that will happen again - just that the hurricane season can have serious effects.
The hurricane season for the Gulf of Mexico will soon start. Just when is another matter. Just how serious is another matter.
But these storms have a potential to disrupt oil production in the gulf and the price of oil on the global market.
It is worth keeping an eye on for the near future.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/
Cheers
Red
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